Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 6.501779 7.158252 7.858294 8.661392 9.558536 10.531327 11.667925
2025-11-16 5.355387 6.238947 7.242961 8.472510 9.943346 11.653317 13.801975
2025-11-23 4.565672 5.580071 6.797028 8.374123 10.377672 12.856347 16.183289
2025-11-30 4.073696 5.193622 6.603410 8.525680 11.105108 14.484432 19.309118
2025-12-07 3.599039 4.758402 6.279907 8.448920 11.503944 15.717239 22.079705
2025-12-14 3.176546 4.334738 5.911046 8.248209 11.685372 16.650173 24.541290
2025-12-21 2.878093 4.042309 5.680505 8.199177 12.055461 17.873642 27.583226
2025-12-28 2.698391 3.895081 5.633344 8.400769 12.806681 19.743777 31.893443
2026-01-04 2.533213 3.749255 5.567881 8.558194 13.495502 21.587538 36.426117
2026-01-11 2.359972 3.572369 5.433932 8.586047 13.967188 23.119979 40.639539
2026-01-18 2.184992 3.375364 5.247216 8.502707 14.233227 24.320499 44.418100
2026-01-25 2.022007 3.182374 5.047550 8.372844 14.395837 25.345099 48.004289
2026-02-01 1.870000 2.997477 4.849376 8.233011 14.538527 26.377859 51.838597
2026-02-08 1.740759 2.839933 4.683437 8.133004 14.742676 27.554234 56.177267
2026-02-15 1.633183 2.710324 4.553904 8.084915 15.038127 28.946600 61.226729
2026-02-22 1.570086 2.652387 4.544485 8.258205 15.785579 31.355644 69.001303
2026-03-01 1.478788 2.537024 4.421496 8.200295 16.056812 32.797417 74.780995
2026-03-08 1.378553 2.397866 4.243224 8.015484 16.040633 33.608299 79.167481
2026-03-15 1.306083 2.304081 4.141706 7.973416 16.321364 35.116964 85.607116
2026-03-22 1.269060 2.273438 4.157337 8.172001 17.151286 38.009863 96.295295
2026-03-29 1.229164 2.234184 4.152621 8.326543 17.899776 40.817888 107.361817
2026-04-05 1.178017 2.169429 4.092102 8.354702 18.358218 42.977603 117.044443
2026-04-12 1.119271 2.085705 3.986939 8.274568 18.549403 44.485282 125.113474